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Post by sheffieldhatter on Mar 25, 2024 10:59:08 GMT
Someone posted the same last week and I moved it into the Football League thread, doing the same again now otherwise it’ll just lead to the same conversation in two different places. Just thought it would be more convenient for reference, if it had its own thread, rather than having to page through posts on another thread to find the info Just put a very modest set of predictions into the calculator at thefishy.co.uk (beating Notts Co, Accrington, losing to Colchester and drawing the rest) and we finish as champions. Now going back in to tweak results for the other contenders.
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Post by HTC on Mar 25, 2024 12:53:13 GMT
when I did that the other day, I've us finishing 2nd to Mansfield with Wrexham in 3rd.
Ended up needing 84 points to hit 3rd place.
I've us doing something like this
Accrington as a 3 point home banker 4 points from Morecambe / Wimbledon 6 points from the 3 aways against the bottom of the table sides No idea about Notts as they'll be on the new manager bounce by then No idea about Wrexham - suspect one club will have something to play for, and the other won't, so the side who are bothered will win.
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Post by philtheglass on Mar 25, 2024 13:44:38 GMT
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Post by rreckless on Mar 25, 2024 14:44:06 GMT
If we get 86 points, I think we win the league
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Post by bristolhatter on Mar 25, 2024 15:35:48 GMT
when I did that the other day, I've us finishing 2nd to Mansfield with Wrexham in 3rd. Ended up needing 84 points to hit 3rd place. I've us doing something like this Accrington as a 3 point home banker 4 points from Morecambe / Wimbledon 6 points from the 3 aways against the bottom of the table sides No idea about Notts as they'll be on the new manager bounce by then No idea about Wrexham - suspect one club will have something to play for, and the other won't, so the side who are bothered will win. 84 points will be more than enough for top 3, In order to get to 83: MK would need 16 points from final 6 (5w 1d) Crewe would need 18 points from final 7 (6 wins) Barrow would need 19 points from final 8 (at least 6 wins and 1 draw) Whilst maybe one of those teams could avoid more than 1 defeat in final few games, I'm predicting a lot of draws. In my opinion 82 would be enough for promotion, our biggest issue will be turning draws into wins, if we can do that in at least 3 games, we'll be fine.
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Post by wnm on Mar 25, 2024 16:11:39 GMT
when I did that the other day, I've us finishing 2nd to Mansfield with Wrexham in 3rd. Ended up needing 84 points to hit 3rd place. I've us doing something like this Accrington as a 3 point home banker 4 points from Morecambe / Wimbledon 6 points from the 3 aways against the bottom of the table sides No idea about Notts as they'll be on the new manager bounce by then No idea about Wrexham - suspect one club will have something to play for, and the other won't, so the side who are bothered will win. Notts will wait till the end of the season if they do make a change. No point sacking someone at this stage.
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Post by wnm on Mar 25, 2024 16:13:53 GMT
It’s an interesting one because Mansfield are in better form than us but they’ve got a tougher set of fixtures and a game less.
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Post by desmond on Mar 25, 2024 16:23:40 GMT
It’s an interesting one because Mansfield are in better form than us but they’ve got a tougher set of fixtures and a game less. Looks like they have Mansfield winning 4 and drawing 3. Be interesting to see if that transpires.
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Post by alkringtonhatter on Mar 25, 2024 16:25:07 GMT
It’s an interesting one because Mansfield are in better form than us but they’ve got a tougher set of fixtures and a game less. Better form over how long? Last 5 games we’ve got 9 points, they’ve got 7. Surprised me too…
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Post by desmond on Mar 25, 2024 16:27:23 GMT
It’s an interesting one because Mansfield are in better form than us but they’ve got a tougher set of fixtures and a game less. Better form over how long? Last 5 games we’ve got 9 points, they’ve got 7. Surprised me too… They have us drawing 3 of our remaining games and losing at Wrexham.
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Post by herbiedumplings on Mar 25, 2024 16:32:52 GMT
Better form over how long? Last 5 games we’ve got 9 points, they’ve got 7. Surprised me too… They have us drawing 3 of our remaining games and losing at Wrexham. Oh, Nasty Stockport (boo!) will lose at Wrexham. Even if takes until May, there’s only one result being recorded by the Disney+ cameras…
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Post by wnm on Mar 25, 2024 16:33:40 GMT
It’s an interesting one because Mansfield are in better form than us but they’ve got a tougher set of fixtures and a game less. Better form over how long? Last 5 games we’ve got 9 points, they’ve got 7. Surprised me too… Last 10 games they are five points better off though.
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Post by Barmy Blue Army on Mar 25, 2024 19:59:07 GMT
Not sure where you get SkyBet from. That predicted table is always horrendous and looks to pretty always predict a home win regardless of the fixture. Had us over 100 points at one point in the season.
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Post by desmond on Mar 25, 2024 21:04:56 GMT
Not sure where you get SkyBet from. That predicted table is always horrendous and looks to pretty always predict a home win regardless of the fixture. Had us over 100 points at one point in the season. Isn’t the league sponsored by Sky Bet ?
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Post by Philcounty on Mar 26, 2024 7:49:43 GMT
Taken from the Wrexham messageboard. It shows the run in for the top 7 based on the PPG (over the last 6 games) of the opposition that we all face. County have the easiest run in on paper.
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